The Real Investment Show Podcast

It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

Website : http://soundcloud.com/the-lance-roberts-show

IPFS Feed : https://ipfspodcasting.net/RSS/413/TheRealInvestmentShowPodcast.xml  

Last Episode : May 30, 2025 2:59pm

Last Scanned : 42 minutes ago

Episodes

Episodes currently hosted on IPFS.

Confirmed 3
5-30-25 Is This the Year for Your Roth Conversion?
Is 2025 the ideal time for a Roth conversion?  RIchard Rosso considers future tax rates potentially on the rise and retirement goals in focus, and why converting to a Roth IRA could be a smart move. We’ll break down the rules, potential tax implications, and key strategies to maximize your tax-free retirement income. Whether you’re planning for retirement or looking to optimize your wealth, don’t miss this essential guide to Roth conversions in 2025 and beyond! [NOTE: Due to technical issues, the missing first segment will be reposted in a separate clip.] SEG-1: Markets, Tariffs, & Corporate Concerns (The Lost Segment can be viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oCeEyCktR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ) SEG-2a: Young Interns & '70's Crime Dramas SEG-2b: Dealing with Decumulation SEG-3: The Problem of Under-spending in Retirement SEG-4: PCE Preview & Needed Tweaks in Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w A&M University Intern, Will Lewis Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction is Over," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Death of Narratives" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIl8rM1AW6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RothConversion #TaxFreeRetirement #RothIRA2025  #RetirementStrategies #TaxPlanning #MarketNarratives #SocialSecurity #RothIRA #Roth401k #PCE #Inflation #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 47 hours
Published Friday
Confirmed 3
5-29-25 The Death of Narratives
President Trump's tariffs are being negated by Trade Courts, and markets feel inspired. Nvidia reports earnings, and is poised for a 6% gain today; we're still on the cusp of all that AI can do. Lance and Michael discuss the importance of recognizing and shutting out the narratives that distract investors; why we all seem to need a reason "why" things are as they are. Commentary on Nvidia's technology "moat;" comparisons to Apple's growth curve. How narratives matter (and do not); fundamentals are still long-term market drivers. The relationship between deficits and interest rates explored; beware of being too attached to any narrative. "The End of American Exceptionalism?" Don't you believe it. Consumer confidence...what is the Money Supply doing. SEG-1: Nvidia Earnings & Cusp of AI Growth  SEG-2: Shifting Narratives & Reasons Why SEG-3: Fundamentals Drive Markets Long-term SEG-4: Why Tariffs are NOT Inflationary Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIl8rM1AW6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction is Over," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Nvidia Day!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorrectionOver #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MarketNarratives #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 19 hours
Published Thursday
Confirmed 3
5-29-25 The Correction is Over
Nvidia will open positively this morning following last night's earnings report. The stock's performance has been intriguiing, essentially trading sideways following a phenomenal run over the past four years. And despite claims of the death of AI, etc., etc., Nvidia is poised to set new, all-time highs today. The recent consolidation just allowed for earnings and valuation to "catch up" with the price. Similarlym, the S&P today will be pushing to a new high, confirming recent support actually held. The next move higher will be a test of all-time highs, around 6,130. Markets have recovered about 80% of the declines seen earlier this year. Regardless of the (false) narratives, if you want to make money, you've got to follow what the market is telling you. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorrectionOver #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 19 hours
Published Thursday
Confirmed 3
5-28-25 Nvidia Day!
It's “Nvidia Day!” The Big Dog in the Tall Grass for AI reports earnings after the closing bell today. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff delve into the anticipation surrounding Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, set to be released after today's market close. We'll explore market expectations, potential impacts on NVDA stock, and the broader implications for the AI and semiconductor sectors. Also a discussion about the inimitable Mrs. Roberts, and the profound changes AI is poised to wrought on global industries. Is the 4% Rule dead or just being updated? Lance bemoans the bots in our X and YouTube channels, and he and Danny review the changes afoot in advisors' recommendations for retirement savings drawdowns. SEG-1: EOM & Shifting Sentiment SEG-2a: Lance' Wife is Scary SEG-2b: Is AI the Next Leg of Industrial Revolution? SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment teaser SEG-3b: Death of the 4% Rule? SEG-4a: Twitter Bots & Chatrooms SEG-4b: Changing the 4% Rule Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is the Risk to Nvidia?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KJCZut3qwU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "The Anchoring Problem & How to Solve It" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t41x9fsYv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NvidiaDay #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #AnchoringBias #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBiases #InvestmentPsychology #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 11 hours
Published Wednesday
Confirmed 3
5-28-25 What is the Risk to Nvidia?
Markets enjoyed a nice, 2% rally Tuesday on news of a pause until July on Eurozone tariffs by President Trump. (Remember our article in November 2024 revealing tariffs as NOT inflationary; see link below). Goldman Sachs came out this week admitting as much. Duh. This entire rally has been predicated on the realization that tariffs are not the inflationry boogie man, and not that big of a hit to the economy. It's all economic sticks & carrots by the Trump Administration. Money flows are very elevated to levels that are typically seen at the peaks of market advances, not the beginning. We've come very far, very fast; this is a good time to take some profits out of the market. Money flows into Nvidia since the bottom have been stellar, which has elevated the stock price; Nvidia is up 40% from the low. That's still 14% below its all-time highs, but a 40% gain is not chump-change. So the risk tomorrow, after the company's report tonight, is to the downside, or a very muted upside. Options pricing currently are foretelling a move of 7%, either up or down.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KJCZut3qwU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 13 hours
Published Wednesday
Confirmed 3
5-27-25 Today's the Day to Reduce Risk
The markets sold off last week in a much-needed correction. Market support coalesced around the 100- and 200-DMA at 5,790. Markets will bounce off that level today. A MACD sell signal is being triggered at a very high level, and we're not over sold quite yet, so markets are not finished with the relaxation/consolidation phase. There is still risk for markets, temporarily; there could be a pullback to the 50-DMA. The 6,000 level on the S&P will be a challenge at this point. Remember, June tends to be a weaker month for markets (and corporate share buy backs go away); July tends to be stronger (and buy back activity returns). If you have not yet rebalanced your portfolio against risk, today would be a good day to do so. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gbbRIpFRqE ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 11 hours
Published Tuesday
1
5-23-25 Are There Warts on The One Big Beautiful Bill?
Are there hidden flaws in the One Big Beautiful Spending Bill?  Danny Ratliff & Jonathan Penn expose what they're not telling you, diving into the fine print of the 2025 federal spending bill. Is it as beautiful as they claim—or are there costly warts hidden beneath the surface?  Danny & Jon break down the economic risks inherent in the politics and pork. SEG-1: Will Investors Pause for Memorial Day Weekend? SEG-2: Wart on the One Big Beautiful Bill SEG-3: Advice for the Class of 2025, Pt 1 SEG-4a: Advice for the Class of 2025, Pt 2  SEG-4b: Is Now the Time to Add Bonds? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: ------- Articles mention in this show: "Death Of The Dollar: An Eternal Tale" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/death-of-the-dollar-an-eternal-tale/ "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pullback We Needed ," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bonds Are Cheap?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SpendingBill2025 #DebtAndDeficits #FiscalPolicyWatch #EconomicRealityCheck #LegislativeImpact #Bitcoincash  #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #BondMarket #InvestingInBonds #FixedIncome #InterestRates2025 #MarketOutlook #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 05/23
1
5-22-25 The Pullback We Needed
Markets sold off Wednesday, and we're still approaching a sell signal, which will be mild, at best. The 20-DMA has been very quietly sneaking up on the 100- and 200-DMA alignments. This is building a lot of support around 5,750. Yesterday's pullback was a much-needed event. The 50-DMA has also bottomed and is now turning positive, which is also supportive for higher stock prices. This sell off was not the beginning of the next leg down for the markets, but it is the pullback needed to get markets in a better position. Economic growth is still around 2.3%, employment data is fine, and there is no apparent sign of recession.  Economically-sensitive sectors are continuing to perform well, which tells us that markets are okay with economic growth. Interestingly, without Fed intervention, interest rates have risen to about where economic growth should be. By the way, Bitcoin has been on FIRE lately, hitting new records at $110,000 Wednesday. Bitcoin is extremely over bought. Bitcoin is a great proxy for stocks and risk-taking. Right about now is when you should take a little bit of profits. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #InvestorPatience #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 05/22
1
5-21-25 Has the Correction Started?
Is this the beginning of a market correction—or just a healthy pullback?  Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down recent volatility, key technical signals, and what smart investors should be watching right now; a review of Target & WalMart's earnings reports. Lance rebuts claims by Fisher Investments that stock buy backs do not affect markets. Convincingly. A review of Jamie Dimon's market complacency warnings, and Lance and Danny discuss on line shopping pro's and con's. Danny backs into a preview of our upcoming Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop, how to build and grow wealth, and how Lance plans to distribute his inheritance to his kids. SEG-1: A Retail Tale of Have's & Have-nots SEG-2: Is This the Start of a Correction? SEG-3a: The Buy Back Factor in Markets SEG-3b: Jaime Dimon's Warning of Market Complacency SEG-3c: Retailers, Tariffs, & Online Shopping SEG-4a: Succession Planning for Boomers SEG-4b: Retirement Income Empowerment preview SEG-4c: The First Step to Building Wealth & Self Preservation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD_sgSpa4Go&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Market Sectors Are Telling Us," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsVVT2IzJuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Markets Too Complacent?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicCommentary #BasicMaterials #Communications #Utilities #Transportation #Energy #AI #RealEstate #MarketCorrection #StockMarket2025 #InvestorInsights #BearMarketWatch #RiskManagement  #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 05/21
1
5-21-25 What Market Sectors Are Telling Us
Market sectors can tell you a lot about what's happening in the real economy, and where money is being spent: This reflects into earnings. Investors also tend to invest in areas that are doing very well vs those that aren't. Money chasing money tends to give an indication of concerns in the economy. So what are sectors that are economically-sensitive say? Basic Materials: Money flows are coming in, which would not be the case were there concerns about the health of the economy. The Communications sector has seen a lot of recovery, particularly since the sell-off. Cap-ex for the Mag-7 companies are at all-time highs, specifically in AI-related areas. (News Flash: AI is not dead.) Utilities, which are sensitive to interest rates, have had a very sharp rise, reflecting the anticipated higher need for energy generation demands from AI. Another interest rate-sensitive area is Real Estate, which has been improving, but remains under pressure. Transportation and Energy have been improving, as well;  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsVVT2IzJuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicCommentary #BasicMaterials #Communications #Utilities #Transportation #Energy #AI #RealEstate #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #InvestorPatience #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 05/21
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5-20-25 Are Markets Too Complacent?
Are investors dangerously ignoring risk? Despite signs of slowing economic growth, elevated valuations, and geopolitical uncertainty, markets continue to trend higher with remarkably low volatility. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn address whether or not markets too complacent, remembering wedding anniversaries, and whether the ratings agencies are to be believed: Why even rate Treasuries at all? A look at bad headlines (If it bleeds, it leads), and whether now is a terrible time to retire; the reality that markets don't really care about anything but forward earnings guidance. We’ll explore why investor sentiment appears disconnected from fundamentals, what past periods of complacency have taught us, and how to identify the early warning signs of risk being mispriced. If you're concerned about market bubbles, overconfidence, or “this time is different” thinking, this episode offers important context — and caution. SEG-1: Moody Downgrade, CBO Projections, & Buy the Dip SEG-2a: Happy Anniversary - Tomorrow SEG-2b: Why Have Ratings on Treasuries? SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment tease (registration link below) SEG-3b: Bad Headlines, Retirement Timing, & AC/DC-Squirrel! SEG-4: All Markets Care About is Forward Earnings Guidance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s ------- Articles mention in this show: "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Patience, Grasshopper," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEQXlux8Yfg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UP8yVn_65v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorPatience #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #RetirementPlanning #RetireSmart #InflationAndRetirement #FinancialFreedom #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 05/20
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5-20-25 Patience, Grasshopper
Markets have improved in terms of breadth and trends, having come very, very far in a very, very short time. The S&P has been very over bought on momentum and relative strength; we are going to get a correction. That does not mean another 20% decline, but at some point a pullback will reverse some of the over bought conditions. We're also seeing this in the tech-weighted Nasdaq, which is very close to hitting its all-time highs. The whole Mag-7 group has broken above its trendline, and we have reversed all of the negativity. The Nasdaq, in particular, has begun building inverse head-and-shoulder patterns, reversing the negative trends building earlier in the year. Small Cap stocks, however, continue to suck this year, not having the recovery that large caps have had. The VIX remains very suppressed, with very little concern by investors whether or not there should be some type of correction. That type of complacency, in itself, is worrisome. Not even the Moody's downgrade was enough of a trigger for correction. June may hold the potential for a pullback in the market. For now, patience is the keyword.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEQXlux8Yfg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #InvestorPatience #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 05/20