The Real Investment Show Podcast

It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

Website : http://soundcloud.com/the-lance-roberts-show

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Last Episode : August 21, 2025 5:38pm

Last Scanned : 4.5 hours ago

Episodes

Episodes currently hosted on IPFS.

Confirmed 2
8/21/25 Speculative Frenzy - Fading or Re-fueling?
Markets are showing signs of a speculative frenzy once again—but is the fire burning out or just getting started?  Danny Ratliff & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest stock market speculation, shifts in investor sentiment 2025, and the risks of a potential market bubble forming. We’ll look at how speculative trading trends are driving prices higher, what this means for long-term investors, and where financial market volatility could take markets next. If you’re looking to understand whether the rally is sustainable—or if risk is quietly building beneath the surface—this discussion will give you the insights you need to stay informed and positioned wisely. 1 - Retailers Are Seeing Diminished Consumer Spending 2 - What Sector Rotation is Telling Us 3 - Speculative Bull Markets Can Go On for a Long Time 4 - The Fed is Contending With Weak Employment 5 - The Full Impact of Tariff is Still Unknown 6 - Jackson Hole & the Rate Cut Conundrum 7 - The Truth About Fed Meeting Minutes 8 - Lisa Cook & The Politicization of The Fed 9 - Fed Rate Cuts - 50 or 25? 10 - The Starbuck's Indicator of Consumer Sentiment 11- The Surprising Side Benefits of Paying with Cash 12 - Looking at the Positives 13 - Keeping Perspectives on Interest Rates 14 - Mortgage Rates vs Treasury Rates 15 - What Lowerd Rates Might Imply 16 - UPS: Value or Value Trap? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://bit.ly/4mrXcJW -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bad News is not New News" is here:  https://bit.ly/4lwwFtH -------- Our previous show, "John Tamny - Money is Ruthless," can be viewed here: https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q  -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Greg Mankiw's Solutions Would Expand Federal Debt" https://www.realclearmarkets.com/2025/08/12/greg_mankiws_solutions_would_expand_federal_debt_1128148.html ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #LisaCook #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #AIstory #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #StockMarket #InvestorSentiment #MarketBubble #SpeculativeTrading #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 43 hours
Published Thursday
Confirmed 3
8-21-25 Bad News is not New News | Before the Bell
Target's earnings report was not good, and guidance was weaker; the chain is blaming the consumer for not spending in their stores. This is nothing new: We've heard from other retailers like Chipotle, Starbuck's, and Cava that consumers are holding back on spending. Additionally, a look at GDP reveals consumption, which is 2/3rds of the economy, dropping a lot. AI infrastructure building has offset this somewhat, but it underscores the importance of the consumer in the economy. WalMart's report today will be similarly intriguing as a barometer of the consumer. This may be the calm before the storm of this week's Jackson Hole meeting, and the actions of the Fed seeming to be more political and economic. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has dropped about 10% over the last couple of weeks. Bitcoin, NASDAQ, and speculative stocks have been very highly correlated. Whether or not you're a Bitcoin fan, it IS a gauge of sentiment and speculative appetite. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bU-QunzVoco&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1------- Articles mentioned in this report: "UPS Is At Pandemic Lows: Value Or Value Trap?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ups-is-at-pandemic-lows-value-or-value-trap/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #LisaCook #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #AIstory #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 37 hours
Published Thursday
Confirmed 2
8/20/25 John Tamny - Money is Ruthless
Lance Roberts interviews John Tamny, author, economist, and editor of RealClearMarkets. Tamny’s provocative new book, Deficit Delusion, reframes how we think about debt and growth. He makes a bold case: Trump-style protectionism and fear-driven immigration policies are economically self-defeating—even for conservatives. Trade is the greatest foreign policy mankind has ever devised, plus it's great for workers as is any scenario that expands the division of labor.   $36.1 trillion Government Debt is not a crisis—it’s a sign of U.S. strength & investor confidence about the U.S.'s future, it’s not weakness. 1:55 - Will the Debt Spiral spark a financial crisis? 4:03 - What is the debt relative to economic growth?  5:18 - The Uber Analogy & Expectations of Debt 8:40 - What are we NOT doing because of Excessive Government Debt? 12:30 - The Premise of Productive Debt & Economic Growth  16:33 - The Danger of Government Spending Cuts   18:40 - The Dark Side of the Flat Tax  22:25 - GDP: The Most Fraudulent Number in Economics 25:58 - What is the "right" tax rate? 28:46 - We Need to Fund the 'nut jobs' 31:09 - Why taxes should be cut for everyone 33:33 - How long before the first, one-man "unicorn" $1B company? 37:13 - The Debt Crisis Isn't the Thing to Worry About Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w John Tamny, Editor/Real Clear Markets Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q  -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Greg Mankiw's Solutions Would Expand Federal Debt" https://www.realclearmarkets.com/2025/08/12/greg_mankiws_solutions_would_expand_federal_debt_1128148.html ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JohnTamny #GovernmentDebt #DeficitDelusion #Budget #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 15 hours
Published Wednesday
Confirmed 3
8/19/25 Do You Really Need a Local Financial Advisor?
Do you really need a local financial advisor to manage your money? Geography doesn’t matter anymore when it comes to building wealth and securing your financial future. Lance previews this week's Jackson Hole consortium; what will Jerome Powell Infer?  Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn cover the conundrum of local vs virtual financial advisors; how college students are lured by credit card offers, and the dangers of credit accounts. This leads to a discussion of personal budgeting, and how deceptively easy it is to begin a culture of savings; the "B-word" is Budget; the importance of controlling discretionary spending and leakage of money; Lance shares an example by working with an income of only $50k; the surprising result of pre-tax contributions and their impact on income; 401k's vs Roth; the benefits of speaking with a "coach" about money, i.e., a financial advisor. SEG-1a: Jackson Hole Preview - What's the Fed going to do? SEG-1b: Negative Divergences are Increasing SEG-2a: Local vs Virtual Financial Advisors SEG-2b: Do You Need a Financial Advisor? SEG-2c: Getting Started So You Can Save & Invest SEG-2d: Stay Away from Credit Cards SEG-2e: Everything's on a Payment Plan SEG-2f: Addressing the "B-word" (Budgeting)    SEG-2g: What's Your Number? SEG-2h: Controlling Your Discretionary Spending SEG-2i: Budgeting w $50k SEG-2j: 401k's vs Roth's SEG-2k: Why Should You Speak With a Financial Advisor? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP   Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yNJaSxQqghA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=6s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Data Sends Markets To New Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/inflation-data-sends-markets-to-new-highs/ "Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/excess-bullishness-10-rules-to-navigate-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is Bitcoin Telling Us Now?" is here:  http://bit.ly/463MS4b  ------- Our previous show is here: "Ten Rules for Navigating Excessive Market Bullishness" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogzk5Y4D7b0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #FinancialAdvisor #VirtualAdvisor #OnlineFinancialPlanning #InvestingTips #PersonalFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 2 hours
Published Tuesday
Confirmed 2
8-19-25 What is Bitcoin Telling Us Now?| Before the Bell
Markets have been very slowly climbing a wall of worry over the past few weeks. While August tends to be a weaker month for markets, such has not been the case thus far. However, negative divergences in relative strength, money flows, and momentum have belied an underlying weakness in the markets. The NASDAQ has been doing well with the drive to chase technology stocks, but that trend has weakened even more than the S&P 500, creating a divergence between the two indexes. A look at Bitcoin, which is a proxy for risk-taking, and for which there is a high correlation with the NASDAQ, also shows some weakening. Bitcoin has triggered a sell signal, and is starting to show a downtrend in relative strength. This doesn't mean markets are about to crash; this could be just a prelude as investors remove risk ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium later this week. IF Jerome Powell comes out more-dovish, we could see markets strengthen. Remember, this has been a market driven by the top ten stocks; performance has been concentrated in Tech and Financials. That kind of bifurcation in the markets is worth paying attention to. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWwtLllMsS8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #AIstory #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 2 hours
Published Tuesday
Confirmed 3
8/18/25 Ten Rules for Navigating Excessive Market Bullishness
Are investors too optimistic right now?  Lance Roberts breaks down ten rules for navigating excess market bullishness so you can protect your portfolio while still participating in market gains. Also in today's show: Lance's assessment of earnings season so far, and the role Nvidia will play in determining market moods. We've got a special interview segment planned for Wednesday's (8/20) show [Premier link is below]; Lance reveals yet another saga by the Roberts' children, and how we can learn from our mistakes, whether we're dishwashers or investors. The reason markets look great can be traced to 7-stocks. The inherent risks of the future; the double edged sword of margin debt, and what's really driving earnings growth. Lance reviews his Ten Rules for Navigating excess bullishness in the market, earnings growth forecast justification, and why retail investors are the last resort for Wall Street. SEG-1a: Earnings Season is Almost Done SEG-1b: Nvidia is one of the Last Supports for Markets SEG-2a: John Tamny Interview Tease [ https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q ] SEG-2b: Bullish Sentiment for the Young & Lance's Daughter SEG-2c: Learning from Our Mistakes SEG-2d: Investors' Ability to Forget Pain SEG-2e: Things Look Great...but only because of 7-stocks SEG-2f: The Spread Between Market Cap vs Equal Weight Indexes    SEG-2g: The Risk of Not Knowing Crypto, AI future SEG-2h: Margin Debt is a Double-edged Sword SEG-2i: What/Who's Really Driving Earnings Growth SEG-2j: The CoreWeave Story SEG-2k: Ten Rules for Navigating Excess Market Bullishness SEG-2l: Proper Position Sizing in Portfolios SEG-2m: Behind the Scenes with Economic Growth SEG-2n: Justifying Earnings Growth Forecasts SEG-2o: You're the Cannon Fodder for Wall Street SEG-2p: Smart Money vs Dumb Money SEG-2q: Bullish Market Sentiment Driven by Narrow Framework  Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,   Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogzk5Y4D7b0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Data Sends Markets To New Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/inflation-data-sends-markets-to-new-highs/ "Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/excess-bullishness-10-rules-to-navigate-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Risks are Posed in AI Story?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXO6sFR3mCc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "The Money Playbook for Young Millionaires" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOXqIaMP8RY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarketRisk #InvestorPsychology #MarketSpeculation #PortfolioStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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Published Monday
Confirmed 3
8-18-25 What Risks are Posed in AI Story?| Before the Bell
Markets were sloppy but okay on Friday, selling off a bit to 6,430, but the bullish trend remains in place in a very defined, stair-step elevation. Every dip is being bought, but rallies aren't doing so well. Sellers have been dragging buyers higher, with buyers reluctantly paying higher prices. There's just not a lot of "eagerness" for buyers to pay higher prices, which is showing up in money flows: Weakness in money flows as markets are rising is a bit of a negative divergence to watch: These are typically preludes to some type of market consolidation or corrective action. One of the last supports for the market to report in this cycle is Nvidia, for which the bar has been set extremely high. Any slight misstep could disrupt markets, a la DeepSeek?  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXO6sFR3mCc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
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Published Monday
1
8/15/25 The Money Playbook for Young Millionaires
Becoming a millionaire at a young age (take Sydney Sweeny. Please.) is an incredible achievement—but keeping and growing that wealth is a whole different game. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down The Money Playbook for Young Millionaires—the proven strategies high net worth young investors use to safeguard their money, build lasting wealth, and avoid costly mistakes. Everything from wealth protection for young investors, asset protection strategies, and tax planning for young wealthy individuals, to the critical mindset shifts needed to grow your net worth in any market...whether your success came from business, investing, or inheritance, this guide will help you protect your wealth for decades to come. If you’re a high net worth millennial or a young investor ready to play the long game, this is your roadmap. 1 - Sydney Sweeney's Worth "only" $40-Mil 2 - Taylor Swift's Financial Plan 3 - Health & Wealth 4 - Basic Trust Planning 5 - Tax Planning & Strategies 6 - The Most Important Decision You Can Make 7 - Estate Tax Planning 8 - Trust Planning & Taylor Smith  9 - Where There's a Will...  10 - Charitable Giving & Linda Blair 11 - Investing in Opportunity Zones 12 - Final Wishes & Abandoned Assets Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOXqIaMP8RY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Cut Rates NOW??" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WealthProtection #YoungInvestors #HighNetWorth #AssetProtection #FinancialPlanning #SydneySweeny #TaylorSwift #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published Friday
1
8/14/25 Will the Fed Cut Rates NOW??
Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed’s hand and what it means for your portfolio.  Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week? SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear? SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to Appear SEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut? SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" Inflation SEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff Inflation SEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut? SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten Companies SEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles?  SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative  SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick? SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-Caps SEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio Tools SEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & Nvidia Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Index Isn’t Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/ "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 08/14
1
8-14-25 Market Breadth Expands | Before the Bell
Markets yet again hit new, all-time highs on Wednesday, following a very well-defined uptrend. This is a very narrow trend channel. Even though a buy signal has been triggered, upside is somewhat limited. The up-again, down-again, up-again, down-again market patterns over the past several days is not a great sign of internal market strength because of the mis-match of buyers and sellers struggling at current price levels. The gap between the S&P 500 Equal Weight and the S&P itself is getting pretty large. The rotation out of tech that we've been looking for is showing up in the equal-weighted index. This suggests that some of the leaders are starting to give up some of their gains. The good news is, we're starting to see growth in market breadth, and money is starting to rotate into areas of the market that had not previously participated in the gains. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 08/14
1
8/13/25 Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns
Many investors unknowingly take on portfolio concentration risk—placing too much money in one stock or sector. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down why concentrated stock portfolios can be dangerous, how lack of investment diversification can magnify losses, and what smart risk management investing looks like. Whether you’re building long-term wealth or protecting what you’ve earned, understanding the hidden dangers of over-concentration is critical. We’ll share practical tips to improve your stock diversification strategy, reduce downside risk, and strengthen your portfolio’s resilience in volatile markets. SEG-1a: CPI Print Offers Hope for September Rate Cut SEG-1b: Small- & Mid-Cap Performance SEG-2a: Blood Tests & Caffeine SEG-2b: Market Capitalization Concentrations SEG-2c: Is there an Ideal Number of Stocks for a Portfolio? SEG-2d: What is the Goal? SEG-2e: Over-weighting or Under-weighting Positions SEG-2f: The Pain Trade  SEG-2g: What Happens Next w Sector Rotation? SEG-2h: Portfolios Are Like NASCAR SEG-2i: What is Your Goal? SEG-2j: Investing Without a Plan is Like Throwing Darts in the Dark SEG-2k: Portfolio Construction for Returns & Taxes SEG-2l: YOLO vs Planning SEG-2m: Importance fo Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Internals Remain Weak," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3v7e03zkoWs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Meme Stock Trading & Jesse Livermore's Timeless Rules for Speculation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVH-DHO81pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2s------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #PortfolioRisk #Diversification #StockMarketTips #InvestingStrategy #WealthManagement #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 08/13
1
8-13-25 Market Internals Remain Weak | Before the Bell
Markets jumped to all-time highs following Tuesday's CPI Report on expectations the Fed will cut rates in September. The report provided markets with a lot of optimism and the opportunity to change the discount rate for stocks. Apparently, it matters not that markets have been rallying all year on expectations of Fed rate cuts. Markets have been in a linear trend, running in a channel for the past week and a half; meanwhile, there has continued to be a negative divergence in money flows. When money flows decline, more pressure is placed on stocks. Money flows now need to play catch up with the rising markets. Bullishly, markets have broken out to new, all-time highs, and typically, new highs beget new highs, so there's no reason to be overly bearish. But, despite the rallying mood, market internals remain weak. Breadth in the market remains very narrow. Small & Mid-Caps have seen a small uptick and rotation into that space, but be careful: While large cap stocks are making new highs, small- and mid-cap stocks remain very range-bound. From a performance perspective, Small- and Mid-cap stocks continue to lag their large-cap brethren.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3v7e03zkoWs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 08/13